The GOP Is Already Sabotaging Midterm Votes - The Monday AM Quickie 10/24/22

Welcome back! Let's talk about steeeeeeealing an election!  – Jack

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THE BIG NEWS

The GOP's War on Voters is Taking a Terrifying Turn

The GOP's playbook for every election from here on out has been clear for months, if not years: find ways to discredit their losses and manipulate or suppress votes to get wins by any means necessary. But some new reporting shows that in advance of the 2022 midterms the Trump wing of the party and its establishment are orchestrating a worst-case scenario that would finish off any last shreds of democracy the U.S. still has.

Let's break it down. First up is Rolling Stone's reporting from this weekend, which suggests that the Trump campaign in particular is watching the Pennsylvania Senate race between John Fetterman and Dr. Oz in particular.  Rolling Stone reports that Trump is still obsessed with the debunked conspiracy theories that suggested voter fraud happened in Philadelphia in the 2020 election, and is actively looking to make that a focal point of how the midterms swing for or against him. RS explains:

Trump has been briefed on plans in multiple states and critical races — including in Georgia. But Pennsylvania has grabbed his interest most keenly, including in the Senate contest between Democrat John Fetterman and the Trump-endorsed GOP contender Mehmet Oz. If the Republican does not win by a wide enough margin to trigger a speedy concession from Fetterman — or if the vote tally is close on or after Election Night in November — Trump and other Republicans are already preparing to wage a legal and activist crusade against the “election integrity” of Democratic strongholds such as the Philly area.

Here's how this fits into the larger picture: the Democrats are currently engaged in an all-out blitz to try to hold on to or capture the vital Secretary of State office in multiple battleground states, reasoning correctly that it's one of the key officials the GOP will use (as we saw in Georgia) to try to invalidate or overturn results in the 2024 race. The problem is despite 57 to one spending on TV ads, many of these races are in danger of falling to Republicans who are outright election deniers – basically already signaling that whatever happens, they'll try to deliver their state for Trump or whoever runs in 2024.

And this subterfuge is already having an effect on the electorate. The Times reports that some voters are already disheartened on the prospects of American democracy and wondering if there's any point in casting a ballot this year or in the future. Still, one encouraging sign is that the pandemic trend of early-voting appears to be sticking: people are already getting out there and casting ballots. It's a shame there are often armed right wing militias at the drop boxes.

BoJo Drops Out of PM Contention

The return of Boris: not happening. What was widely acknowledged to be BoJo's race to lose is no longer much of a contest, as the internal machinations of Britain's conservative party have deigned to make the Big Johnson non viable for a return to the Prime Minister's office. That leaves fellow Tory Rishi Sunak with the commanding lead to succeed short-lived Liz Truss as PM. Sunak was one of the architects of Johnson's first fall from grace, and Johnson's sudden abdication of any claim to the throne suggests that whatever underhanded Brit-boxing is going on behind the scenes is swinging heavily in Sunak's favor. Righto!

J6 Committee Sets Date For Trump Testimony

The January 6 Committee has set an official deadline for Trump to take the stand and testify – something that is by no means a guarantee – implying that they at least are trying to take his subpoena somewhat seriously. Given the precedent that Steve Bannon's sentencing to four months in jail for ignoring the committee's subpoena sets, there's a decent chance that Trump will be forced to actually step up. The committee has said that Trump has until November 14 to testify – we can expect him to put it off till the last possible minute if he does – and to turn over any documents related to his attempt to overturn the 2020 election by at least November 4. It'll be interesting to see to what degree – if any – the chaotic Trump legal team deigns to comply!

QUICKEST QUICKIES

  • Biden Reiterates That He's Running in 2024 Honestly I'm resigned to it now. Jill says she supports him, for what that's worth. via WaPo.
  • Pence Still Flirting With Trump Challenge Every time he's asked if he'll support Trump he winks at a run of his own, which will end almost as soon as it officially starts, of course. via WaPo.
  • Lindsay Graham Asks Supreme Court to Get Him Out of Testifying in Georgia Graham has been subpoenaed by a grand jury over his role in trying to overturn the election for Trump. via WaPo.
  • 11 Billion Snow Crabs Suddenly Disappeared This is a wild and kinda terrifying one. Via Slate.
  • Imran Khan Barred From Office More political upheval in Pakistan. via NYT.

SOME NUMBER

$1.4 trillion

The federal budget deficit for FY2022, compared to $2.8 trillion the year before, after the government decided to just stop all of the useful pandemic-era stimulus investment it was doing. Once again: budget deficit smudget shmeficit. Who cares if it's high!

ON THE SHOW TODAY

10/21 Sam and Emma host Raymond Craib, Professor of History of Cornell University, to discuss his recent book Adventure Capitalism: A History of Libertarian Exit, from the Era of Decolonization to the Digital Age.

DON'T MISS MR CLIPS

Decoding The Hurt Feelings Of The 'Manosphere'

Why is the 'manosphere' so alluring to a certain group of men? It requires zero introspection, ever.

Dummy J.D. Vance Falls For Absurd Hoax

Every time I see his big stupid face I laugh, I can't help it.

PARTING WORDS

“At its core, the Biden administration remains focused on deporting asylum seekers back to danger, and outsourcing its obligations to Mexico. This is another example of a Biden immigration policy that suffers a bad case of Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde: From one angle, it looks humanitarian, but from another, it is ugly and abusive.”

– Oscar Chacón, executive director of the Alianza Americas advocacy group, on the Biden administration's change to its policies on Venezuelan refugees.

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