U.S. Intel Claims Nordstream Sabotage Was a Ukrainian Operation - The Wednesday AM Quickie 3/8/23

New Order's hit single Blue Monday came out 40 years ago yesterday. But it was Tuesday. - Corey

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New Official Story on Nordstream Sabotage: Ukrainians Did It

One month ago I told you about investigative reporter Seymour Hersh's claim, based on an anonymous source, that last year's sabotage of the Nordstream 2 pipeline carrying Russian gas to Europe was a covert operation approved by President Joe Biden and led by the U.S. military and the Central Intelligence Agency. The U.S. government denied that report, while the Russian government seized upon it. My take was that such an explosive claim needed more than anonymous sources to be believed. And that remains the case.

Yesterday, the New York Times and the German newspaper Die Zeit came out with separate but complementary stories, each also based on unnamed sources, blaming the pipeline sabotage on covert groups working for the benefit of Ukraine. Per the Times:

U.S. officials said there was much they did not know about the perpetrators and their affiliations. The review of newly collected intelligence suggests they were opponents of [Aspiring Tsar] Vladimir V. Putin of Russia, but does not specify the members of the group, or who directed or paid for the operation. U.S. officials declined to disclose the nature of the intelligence, how it was obtained or any details of the strength of the evidence it contains. They have said that there are no firm conclusions about it, leaving open the possibility that the operation might have been conducted off the books by a proxy force with connections to the Ukrainian government or its security services. ...
Officials who have reviewed the intelligence said they believed the saboteurs were most likely Ukrainian or Russian nationals, or some combination of the two. U.S. officials said no American or British nationals were involved. ...
U.S. officials say Mr. Biden and his top aides did not authorize a mission to destroy the Nord Stream pipelines, and they say there was no U.S. involvement.

Die Zeit, via Google Translate, offers more detail. The paper bases its account on a criminal investigation that claims to have "succeeded in identifying the boat that was allegedly used for the secret operation.

It is said to be a yacht rented from a company based in Poland, apparently owned by two Ukrainians. According to the investigation, the secret operation at sea was carried out by a team of six people. It is said to have been five men and one woman. Accordingly, the group consisted of a captain, two divers, two diving assistants and a doctor, who are said to have transported the explosives to the crime scenes and placed them there. The nationality of the perpetrators is apparently unclear. The [saboteurs] used professionally forged passports, which are said to have been used, among other things, to rent the boat."

Dramatic stuff! It's hard to know what to believe, but the most significant thing here is that U.S. and European officials are offering a counter-narrative in response to Hersh's report -- and it doesn't blame Russia, but rather Ukraine. While U.S. involvement, which is still denied, would be considered an act of war, Ukraine is already at war with Russia, so it's not quite so big a deal, as far as global stability is concerned, if Ukraine takes the blame. That said, if this story is true or mostly true, it could impact allied support for Ukraine. And do remember, as the Washington Post notes in its follow-up piece: "There is still no forensic evidence from the blast site that concretely ties the sabotage to any country."

In other news of the Ukraine war, President Volodymyr Zelenskyy pledged to "find the murderers" of an apparent Ukrainian prisoner of war gunned down by Russian soldiers in a viral video; and, in another sign that the U.S. is planning to boost Ukraine's air force for a spring offensive, Politico reports that the two militaries are exploring whether Ukraine's existing Soviet-era fighter jet fleet can be modified with American air-to-air missiles.

Florida Democrats Vow 'War' Over Expanded Abortion Ban

A 15-week abortion ban took effect in Florida last July. Yesterday Republicans in the state house and senate filed bills to ban abortions after six weeks of pregnancy, and Gov. Ron DeSantis vowed in his state of the state address to sign the bill into law once it reaches his desk. As HuffPost reports, the expanded ban also explicitly prohibits the mailing of medication abortion to pregnant people in Florida. "Today, Florida Republicans have gone scorched earth with what is effectively an all-out abortion ban ― with threats to criminalize women and their doctors," Senate Minority Leader Lauren Book said. "This is it. They have come. And if it's a war they want, it's a war they will get. ... On behalf of my daughter all women and girls in our state, that's a promise." Meanwhile in California, Democratic Gov. Gavin Newsom ordered the state to stop doing business with Walgreens over its decision not to sell abortion pills in states where they remain legal.

Tucker Carlson on Donald Trump: 'I Hate Him Passionately'

Professional liar Tucker Carlson of Fox News launched his bid to rewrite the history of Donald Trump's Jan. 6, 2021 coup attempt on Monday night, using cherry-picked footage to portray violent insurrectionists as peaceful "sightseers." Obnoxious billionaire Elon Musk endorsed Carlson's fabrications, but those who were actually there found it wholly unconvincing. "I think it's bullsh*t," North Carolina Republican Sen. Thom Tillis said. North Dakota Republican Sen. Kevin Cramer called it "just a lie." The family of Capitol Police officer Brian Sicknick, who died in the insurrection, expressed outrage, calling Carlson's presentation "delusional" propaganda in the service of Trump and his "his sycophant followers." Capitol Police Chief Tom Manger was comparatively nice in calling it "offensive" and "misleading." A watchdog coalition led by Public Citizen has requested an ethics investigation into House Speaker Kevin McCarthy's decision to exclusively provide Jan. 6 footage to Carlson. And here's a nice kicker from the Dominion libel case against Fox News: Carlson wrote privately of Trump in a text message to an unknown person two days before the insurrection, "I hate him passionately."


  • Justice Department Sues to Block $3.8 Billion JetBlue-Spirit Merger "If the acquisition is approved, JetBlue plans to abandon Spirit's business model, remove seats from Spirit's planes, and charge Spirit's customers higher prices," the government says. via the Associated Press.
  • 'The Idea Is to Bring France to a Standstill' Striking transport and energy workers as well as teachers and students hit the streets to protest a government plan to raise the retirement age. via the Guardian and the New York Times.
  • Biden FCC Nominee Withdraws Following Personal Attacks Consumer advocate Gigi Sohn would have been the first openly gay Federal Communications Commission member. via NBC News.
  • China's New Top Diplomat Warns U.S. Policy Ensures Conflict "If the U.S. does not hit the brakes but continues to speed down the wrong path, no amount of guardrail can prevent derailing, and there will surely be conflict and confrontation," Foreign Minister Qin Gang said yesterday. via the Guardian.
  • Republican Congressman Poses for Photo with Notorious Nazis A smiling Montana Rep. Matt Rosendale posed for a photo with "Ryan Sanchez, a former member of the violent neo-Nazi street gang Rise Above Movement who was dressed similarly to a WWII German officer, and Greyson Arnold, a pro-Nazi blogger." via HuffPost and the Washington Post.


1.2 percent

That's how much President Joe Biden wants to raise taxes on income above $400,000 per year in order to fund Medicare for another 25 years.


3/8: Sam and Emma host Aaron Kleinman, director of research for the States Project at Future Now, to discuss the upcoming Wisconsin state supreme court election in April. Then they're joined by Peter Shamshiri, or Law Boy on Twitter, co-host of the 5-4 Podcast, to discuss the recent oral arguments before the Supreme Court.


How Biden's Budget Can Affect U.S. Healthcare

See today's Some Number above for more.

Dave Rubin Defends 'Dilbert' Guy's Racist Remarks

Just a couple of guys who enjoy humiliating themselves in public.


"I remember his face very well. He was coming regularly on the blocks, and sometimes he talked, sometimes he didn't. ... He didn't start as a very bad guy, but the course of events, I think, led him to have no choice. Many of the very big leadership, if they want to be harsh, it's hard from the lower people to take a different turn. He aligned with the bad people in the end."

-- Ahmed Abdel Aziz, a former Guantanamo Bay prisoner released after 13 years without being charged with a crime, speaking to the McClatchy news service about his experiences with former Judge Advocate General, possible future Republican presidential candidate, and current Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis. Aziz and other former inmates say DeSantis was aware of forced feedings – called torture by the United Nations Human Rights Commission – at the base. However, McClatchy says it was unable to verify that DeSantis was present for those torture sessions.

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